Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado St.
Mountain West
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#72
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#67
Pace68.8#151
Improvement+0.2#173

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#73
Improvement-4.7#334

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#73
Improvement+4.8#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.9% n/a n/a
First Round4.6% n/a n/a
Second Round1.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2010 337   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-51 98%     1 - 0 +11.9 -9.2 -8.6
  Nov 18, 2010 214   @ Denver W 77-66 74%     2 - 0 +11.2 +0.7 +0.0
  Nov 27, 2010 179   Sam Houston St. L 81-92 85%     2 - 1 -15.1 -2.1 -2.4
  Dec 01, 2010 205   Drake W 78-67 88%     3 - 1 +5.1 -2.7 -2.7
  Dec 04, 2010 162   Fresno St. W 87-74 83%     4 - 1 +10.0 -1.1 -1.4
  Dec 08, 2010 49   @ Colorado L 83-90 OT 28%     4 - 2 +6.2 +6.7 +6.1
  Dec 11, 2010 3   Kansas L 55-76 11%     4 - 3 -0.5 +9.4 +10.1
  Dec 20, 2010 125   Northern Colorado W 75-61 76%     5 - 3 +13.5 -0.3 +0.4
  Dec 22, 2010 219   Appalachian St. W 82-79 83%     6 - 3 -0.1 -1.3 -1.7
  Dec 23, 2010 76   Mississippi W 68-61 52%     7 - 3 +13.5 +3.1 +3.7
  Dec 24, 2010 74   Southern Miss W 63-58 50%     8 - 3 +11.9 +3.3 +3.9
  Dec 28, 2010 142   @ San Francisco W 69-61 58%     9 - 3 +12.9 +2.6 +2.7
  Jan 01, 2011 206   Hampton L 75-77 82%     9 - 4 -4.7 -0.9 -1.9
  Jan 04, 2011 224   Wyoming W 73-60 89%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +6.6 -2.6 -3.1
  Jan 12, 2011 46   @ New Mexico L 61-68 27%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +6.4 +6.0 +7.0
  Jan 15, 2011 160   TCU W 79-69 82%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +7.2 -1.3 -1.1
  Jan 19, 2011 26   @ UNLV W 78-63 20%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +31.0 +8.4 +8.3
  Jan 22, 2011 12   BYU L 85-94 29%     12 - 6 3 - 2 +3.9 +6.7 +5.8
  Jan 26, 2011 108   Air Force W 69-66 74%     13 - 6 4 - 2 +3.4 +0.3 +0.2
  Jan 29, 2011 137   @ Utah W 74-68 57%     14 - 6 5 - 2 +11.1 +2.6 +2.8
  Feb 02, 2011 10   San Diego St. L 54-56 28%     14 - 7 5 - 3 +11.1 +5.8 +7.2
  Feb 05, 2011 224   @ Wyoming W 59-56 75%     15 - 7 6 - 3 +2.9 -0.3 +0.3
  Feb 12, 2011 46   New Mexico W 68-62 50%     16 - 7 7 - 3 +13.0 +3.4 +3.9
  Feb 16, 2011 160   @ TCU W 69-55 63%     17 - 7 8 - 3 +17.5 +1.4 +2.7
  Feb 19, 2011 26   UNLV L 61-68 40%     17 - 8 8 - 4 +2.6 +4.4 +4.9
  Feb 23, 2011 12   @ BYU L 76-84 13%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +11.2 +9.2 +9.7
  Feb 26, 2011 108   @ Air Force L 57-74 51%     17 - 10 8 - 6 -10.3 +2.7 +3.3
  Mar 02, 2011 137   Utah W 78-65 78%     18 - 10 9 - 6 +11.8 -0.1 -0.5
  Mar 05, 2011 10   @ San Diego St. L 48-66 13%     18 - 11 9 - 7 +1.5 +9.0 +9.5
  Mar 10, 2011 46   New Mexico L 61-67 38%     18 - 12 +4.2 +4.8 +5.1
Projected Record 18.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 10.4% 10.4% 12.1 0.0 0.2 8.5 1.7 89.6 10.4%
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 10.4% 0.0% 10.4% 12.1 0.0 0.2 8.5 1.7 89.6 10.4%